The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (28 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 36
Defender wins (German (SS)): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2025-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1138 | 59% | 2024-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2024-08-20 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2024-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2023-03-05 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2023-02-10 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2022-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-08-05 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2022-06-02 | | Won |
| 977 | 1006 | 46% | 2022-03-04 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2021-10-06 | | Tied |
| 1198 | 998 | 76% | 2021-09-23 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1103 | 31% | 2021-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-08-31 | | Won |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2021-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2021-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 904 | 86% | 2021-06-18 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1134 | 52% | 2021-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2021-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2021-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-04-07 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1022.6 has a 53.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).