The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (28 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 36
Defender wins (German (SS)): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1130 | 54% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1167 | 51% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 890 | 67% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2024-08-14 | Lost |
| 934 | 1015 | 39% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1097 | 1128 | 46% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-08-13 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1142 | 52% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2022-06-02 | Won |
| 999 | 1015 | 48% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 1099 | 22% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 880 | 1153 | 17% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1069 | 994 | 61% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1234 | 904 | 87% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1129 | 51% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1102 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1056.3 vs 1046.8 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).