The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (28 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 36
Defender wins (German (SS)): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1077 | 53% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1130 | 47% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1155 | 53% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 928 | 62% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 777 | 1140 | 11% | 2024-08-14 | Lost |
| 951 | 998 | 43% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1097 | 1128 | 46% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 994 | 54% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-08-13 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1142 | 45% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1109 | 1182 | 40% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 777 | 89% | 2022-06-02 | Won |
| 997 | 998 | 50% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 878 | 1050 | 27% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 1102 | 34% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 880 | 1152 | 17% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1069 | 1030 | 56% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1219 | 904 | 86% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1146 | 1124 | 53% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1102 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 946 | 74% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1050 | 67% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1041.3 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).