The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (22 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German (SS)): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1116 | 52% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1146 | 63% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 1128 | 958 | 73% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1093 | 993 | 64% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1107 | 48% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1148 | 47% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1128 | 1142 | 48% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 939 | 958 | 47% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 877 | 994 | 34% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 908 | 1087 | 26% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 911 | 1066 | 29% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1069 | 1064 | 51% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1303 | 903 | 91% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 1102 | 39% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1125 | 73% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 983 | 1021 | 45% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1237 | 994 | 80% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1090.3 vs 1041.9 has a 56.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).