The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (27 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 36
Defender wins (German (SS)): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1129 | 56% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1147 | 62% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2024-08-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 959 | 49% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1097 | 1127 | 46% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 994 | 53% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1143 | 54% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2022-06-02 | Won |
| 982 | 959 | 53% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 910 | 1103 | 25% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 881 | 1151 | 17% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1041 | 54% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1253 | 904 | 88% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1102 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 945 | 1074 | 32% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1229 | 980 | 81% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1035.7 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).