The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (21 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German (SS)): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1125 | 52% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1011 | 882 | 68% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1092 | 1097 | 49% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1024 | 993 | 54% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1148 | 46% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1011 | 59% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1213 | 1055 | 71% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 911 | 982 | 40% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1214 | 996 | 78% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1031 | 55% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1310 | 903 | 91% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1151 | 70% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1082.5 vs 1033.1 has a 57.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).