Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (21 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 36
Defender wins (American): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1091 | 37% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 827 | 73% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 836 | 1144 | 15% | 2025-10-30 | Lost |
| 810 | 1090 | 17% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1162 | 28% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1144 | 946 | 76% | 2025-08-07 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1038 | 52% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1021 | 972 | 57% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1001 | 64% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1015 | 981 | 55% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 915 | 73% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 915 | 1197 | 16% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 976 | 1068 | 37% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1013.2 vs 1029.8 has a 47.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).