Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (23 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (American): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1221 | 28% | 2026-07-08 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1435 | 8% | 2026-02-04 | Lost |
| 923 | 1175 | 19% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 965 | 60% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2025-10-30 | Lost |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1048 | 59% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1141 | 1138 | 50% | 2025-08-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1075 | 51% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 998 | 1060 | 41% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1016 | 71% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 1146 | 40% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1070 | 49% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 698 | 969 | 17% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 979 | 1013 | 45% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1082 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1055 | 1090 | 45% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1126 | 991 | 69% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1111 | 41% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1076 | 780 | 85% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1216 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1077.6 has a 44.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).