Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (23 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (American): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1215 | 27% | 2026-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1435 | 8% | 2026-02-04 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1153 | 22% | 2025-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 904 | 68% | 2025-11-08 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2025-10-30 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2025-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2025-09-29 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-06-20 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1040 | 43% | 2025-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1062 | 63% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1133 | 42% | 2025-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1046 | 49% | 2024-08-21 | | Won |
| 692 | 1012 | 14% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2024-01-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2023-11-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2023-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 981 | 71% | 2023-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1112 | 40% | 2022-12-26 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2021-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 780 | 89% | 2021-07-23 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-05-25 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-04-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1064.2 has a 44.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).