Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (18 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 36
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1151 | 26% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1139 | 39% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 1083 | 45% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1014 | 50% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1185 | 962 | 78% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1099 | 1065 | 55% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1093 | 51% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 755 | 1024 | 18% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 977 | 1035 | 42% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1086 | 990 | 63% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1211 | 1211 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1151 | 963 | 75% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1095 | 40% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1139 | 762 | 90% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1185 | 1029 | 71% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1020 | 52% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1075.3 vs 1055.5 has a 52.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).