Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (23 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 895 | 1052 | 29% | 2026-04-23 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1022 | 46% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 890 | 865 | 54% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1133 | 31% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 959 | 73% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1076 | 41% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1017 | 78% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1421 | 1234 | 75% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1003 | 45% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 750 | 1220 | 6% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1043 | 45% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 974 | 1138 | 28% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1208 | 25% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1208 | 900 | 85% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1159 | 45% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1022 | 69% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1077 | 41% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1170 | 1030 | 69% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1062.2 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).