Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (24 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-10-03 | | Won |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2026-04-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2026-02-22 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-03-27 | | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-08-31 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1161 | 27% | 2022-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 996 | 69% | 2022-08-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1115 | 34% | 2022-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1001 | 78% | 2022-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2022-05-01 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1060 | 37% | 2022-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-01-07 | | Won |
| 728 | 1273 | 4% | 2021-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2021-12-04 | | Tied |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2021-10-08 | | Lost |
| 949 | 780 | 73% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
| 1205 | 901 | 85% | 2021-07-15 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1171 | 45% | 2021-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-05-16 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1091 | 39% | 2021-05-15 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1030 | 66% | 2021-01-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1066.1 has a 46.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).