Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 882 | 867 | 52% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1091 | 39% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1025 | 84% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1310 | 18% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1069 | 47% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 769 | 1255 | 6% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1046 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1084 | 1136 | 43% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 718 | 89% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 926 | 78% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1214 | 21% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 1214 | 21% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1129 | 49% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1058 | 1064 | 49% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1129 | 1030 | 64% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1067.9 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).