The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (31 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1050 | 54% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 966 | 1150 | 26% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1121 | 41% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1128 | 33% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1088 | 71% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1168 | 1058 | 65% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 913 | 866 | 57% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 847 | 898 | 43% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 1310 | 22% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 970 | 986 | 48% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1027 | 69% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1310 | 1054 | 81% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1086 | 43% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1001 | 978 | 53% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1019 | 1162 | 31% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1241 | 22% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1014 | 85% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 1145 | 49% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1264 | 1060 | 76% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1151 | 57% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1292 | 1266 | 54% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 934 | 61% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1141 | 1292 | 30% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1087.6 vs 1067.2 has a 52.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).