The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (31 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1046 | 40% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 945 | 968 | 47% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1134 | 50% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 967 | 55% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1073 | 61% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1161 | 1135 | 54% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 890 | 865 | 54% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 898 | 56% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1175 | 1234 | 42% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 986 | 52% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1013 | 70% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1234 | 1068 | 72% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 913 | 1166 | 19% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1052 | 47% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1048 | 960 | 62% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1087 | 44% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1009 | 989 | 53% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 998 | 1187 | 25% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 1152 | 29% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1031 | 76% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1208 | 1176 | 55% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1220 | 1052 | 72% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1159 | 37% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1169 | 1220 | 43% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1208 | 1169 | 56% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1060.3 has a 51.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).