The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (31 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1046 | 47% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 978 | 1096 | 34% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 947 | 995 | 43% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1134 | 48% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1041 | 45% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1073 | 70% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1117 | 53% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 919 | 865 | 58% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 941 | 898 | 56% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 993 | 1253 | 18% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 982 | 986 | 49% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1013 | 79% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1253 | 1071 | 74% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1072 | 45% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1087 | 44% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 989 | 53% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1065 | 1191 | 33% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1224 | 29% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1015 | 80% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1147 | 54% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1180 | 1052 | 68% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1157 | 36% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1176 | 1256 | 39% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1174 | 1176 | 50% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1084.7 vs 1062.9 has a 53.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).