Aussie Alamo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Australian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2026-07-20 | | Lost |
| 873 | 1000 | 32% | 2024-09-29 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-11-19 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1171 | 45% | 2021-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2021-10-03 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1171 | 22% | 2021-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1141 | 50% | 2021-07-24 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-07-13 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2021-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1029 | 59% | 2021-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1029 | 67% | 2021-01-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1070.7 has a 49.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).