Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (19 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1031 | 53% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1084 | 39% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 1011 | 1094 | 38% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 977 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 984 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 910 | 1182 | 17% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1098 | 68% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1142 | 927 | 78% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
| 1165 | 1062 | 64% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1151 | 965 | 74% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 994 | 71% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1211 | 31% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1061.5 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).