Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (25 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1139 | 32% | 2024-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1141 | 51% | 2024-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2024-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1182 | 31% | 2022-12-11 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2022-10-15 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1011 | 57% | 2022-10-03 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-09-07 | | Won |
| 1150 | 952 | 76% | 2022-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2022-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 949 | 70% | 2022-03-04 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1066 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1015 | 78% | 2021-07-23 | | Won |
| 1154 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2021-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1065 | 1120 | 42% | 2021-06-27 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1064 | 64% | 2021-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2021-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-05-15 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-05-12 | | Won |
| 939 | 1230 | 16% | 2021-04-16 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-04-01 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1046.9 has a 54.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).