The Governor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (23 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 45
Defender wins (Vichy French): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1070 | 1079 | 49% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
1035 | 1128 | 37% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
1064 | 1033 | 54% | 2021-08-27 | Lost |
1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
908 | 1018 | 35% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
952 | 982 | 46% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
1096 | 1303 | 23% | 2021-07-15 | Lost |
1084 | 1022 | 59% | 2021-07-02 | Lost |
933 | 937 | 49% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
939 | 1126 | 25% | 2021-06-03 | Lost |
997 | 1110 | 34% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
1206 | 759 | 93% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
1083 | 1086 | 50% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
1237 | 994 | 80% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
1047 | 1051 | 49% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
1155 | 1118 | 55% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
998 | 759 | 80% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
923 | 1206 | 16% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
983 | 1206 | 22% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
1021 | 1191 | 27% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
933 | 1026 | 37% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1054.3 has a 48.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).