The Governor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (24 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 30
Defender wins (Vichy French): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1102 | 50% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1056 | 62% | 2021-08-27 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 927 | 979 | 43% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2021-07-15 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2021-07-02 | Lost |
| 927 | 918 | 51% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1134 | 36% | 2021-06-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1263 | 741 | 95% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1050 | 51% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1039 | 69% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1181 | 1102 | 61% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1051 | 52% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 952 | 1263 | 14% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 741 | 82% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1127 | 54% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 1263 | 19% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1142 | 32% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 917 | 1028 | 35% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1061 has a 47.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).