Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (22 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 984 | 51% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1174 | 1176 | 50% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-04-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1027 | 1139 | 34% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1027 | 66% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1180 | 1283 | 36% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 1116 | 51% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 932 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 989 | 55% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1027 | 1006 | 53% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 1013 | 46% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 885 | 933 | 43% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 950 | 59% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 980 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1066 | 31% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 913 | 878 | 55% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1028.9 has a 50.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).