Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (22 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-01-18 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2024-11-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2024-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2022-10-31 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2022-09-10 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2022-06-18 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1147 | 46% | 2022-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-03-29 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-03-26 | | Won |
| 1059 | 992 | 60% | 2022-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-11-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2021-09-03 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-06-25 | | Won |
| 1027 | 960 | 60% | 2021-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2021-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1006 | 73% | 2021-03-03 | | Lost |
| 916 | 1000 | 38% | 2021-02-14 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2021-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2020-12-30 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1023.7 has a 51.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).