Defence of St. Oedenrode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (9 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 987 | 50% | 2025-05-10 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-03-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 977 | 940 | 55% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2021-10-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 958 | 60% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 1204 | 1237 | 45% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1038.6 has a 53.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).