One Last Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (12 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1036 | 40% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 984 | 1021 | 45% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1074 | 60% | 2024-01-29 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-09-15 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1135 | 40% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
| 891 | 1015 | 33% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1023 | 992 | 54% | 2021-10-01 | Won |
| 1208 | 1225 | 48% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-02-10 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069.1 vs 1087.2 has a 47.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).