Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (13 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2026-04-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2026-03-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2026-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 985 | 57% | 2025-10-28 | | Won |
| 1042 | 977 | 59% | 2025-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1143 | 64% | 2025-02-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2023-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2023-02-22 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-02-18 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1242 | 19% | 2022-09-10 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-11-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2021-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1007 | 66% | 2020-12-31 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1047.5 has a 48.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).