Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (23 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 66
Defender wins (German): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1188 | 52% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 1165 | 28% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1065 | 45% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 887 | 756 | 68% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 1109 | 44% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1037 | 47% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1142 | 941 | 76% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1204 | 27% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1085 | 66% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1035 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1211 | 35% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1137 | 1216 | 39% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1047 | 46% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 958 | 62% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 889 | 931 | 44% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1021 | 49% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 947 | 79% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1038.1 vs 1031 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).