Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 147 (25 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 68
Defender wins (German): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2026-05-12 | Won |
| 1230 | 1187 | 56% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1065 | 1178 | 34% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1004 | 82% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 886 | 707 | 74% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 989 | 64% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1195 | 971 | 78% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1113 | 39% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1087 | 54% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1035 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1070 | 55% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1208 | 1238 | 46% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 986 | 55% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 866 | 920 | 42% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1217 | 998 | 78% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1011.8 has a 56.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).