Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (19 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 61
Defender wins (German): 75
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1165 | 37% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 961 | 1061 | 36% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 881 | 812 | 60% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1082 | 1031 | 57% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1128 | 984 | 70% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1129 | 36% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1035 | 63% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1086 | 59% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 1276 | 31% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1071 | 994 | 61% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 941 | 924 | 52% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1074 | 57% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1035.4 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).