Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (13 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Polish): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1019 | 53% | 2025-02-23 | Won |
| 890 | 1092 | 24% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1241 | 46% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-12-19 | Tied |
| 768 | 970 | 24% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 877 | 748 | 68% | 2022-08-22 | Tied |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-04-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 885 | 68% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 967 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1106 | 965 | 69% | 2020-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1003.2 vs 985.5 has a 52.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).