Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (43 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 56
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2026-06-04 | | Lost |
| 933 | 767 | 72% | 2025-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2025-10-30 | | Won |
| 938 | 692 | 80% | 2025-10-16 | | Won |
| 931 | 1126 | 25% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2025-01-13 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1068 | 44% | 2024-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 984 | 72% | 2024-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2024-09-29 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-08-03 | | Won |
| 961 | 966 | 49% | 2024-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2024-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2023-03-24 | | Won |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2022-11-30 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2022-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1108 | 45% | 2022-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1044 | 63% | 2022-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2022-03-06 | | Won |
| 1187 | 1044 | 69% | 2022-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2022-02-23 | | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2022-02-15 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2021-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1048 | 63% | 2021-07-02 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1000 | 81% | 2021-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2021-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2021-05-26 | | Won |
| 1145 | 989 | 71% | 2021-05-24 | | Won |
| 965 | 1242 | 17% | 2021-05-15 | | Lost |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2021-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1170 | 29% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1218 | 17% | 2021-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 967 | 980 | 48% | 2020-12-22 | | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2020-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1228 | 27% | 2020-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 1101 | 48% | 2020-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1042.9 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).