Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (19 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 950 | 962 | 48% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1011 | 1024 | 48% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 979 | 973 | 51% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 931 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1173 | 43% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1058 | 44% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1076 | 979 | 64% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 980 | 919 | 59% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 982 | 56% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 902 | 995 | 37% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1253 | 1018 | 79% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1013.3 has a 56.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).