Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (17 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 25
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1084 | 37% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 989 | 54% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1214 | 1334 | 33% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1119 | 50% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 984 | 1008 | 47% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 882 | 67% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1074 | 39% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 900 | 1036 | 31% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 996 | 86% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1055.4 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).