Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-09-08 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2022-05-20 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2021-09-21 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1139 | 25% | 2021-09-13 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2021-09-10 | | Lost |
| 940 | 991 | 43% | 2021-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2021-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1182 | 27% | 2021-07-21 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1059 | 79% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1132 | 53% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1091 | 1132 | 44% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2020-12-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1070.1 has a 47.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).