Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1055 | 53% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1080 | 950 | 68% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 950 | 1129 | 26% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1089 | 944 | 70% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 1120 | 33% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 894 | 57% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 1003 | 41% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1129 | 52% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1225 | 1059 | 72% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1113 | 1135 | 47% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1172 | 1135 | 55% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 990 | 1025 | 45% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1067.3 has a 49.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).