Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 969 | 45% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 933 | 994 | 41% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 954 | 994 | 44% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1021 | 983 | 55% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 881 | 1145 | 18% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 881 | 1145 | 18% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1084 | 60% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 974 | 1008 | 45% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 962 | 983 | 47% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 966 vs 1033.9 has a 40.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).