Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-12-01 | | Lost |
| 949 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | | Won |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-11-23 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-04-15 | | Won |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2022-02-23 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2022-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1134 | 51% | 2022-01-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2021-11-10 | | Lost |
| 916 | 972 | 42% | 2021-05-27 | | Won |
| 943 | 983 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 981.6 vs 1036.7 has a 42.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).