Beacon of Hope
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (13 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Swedish/Norwegian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2025-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2025-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2025-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2024-11-25 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2022-04-09 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-03-12 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1012 | 63% | 2021-11-08 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1198 | 24% | 2021-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2021-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2021-03-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1032.5 has a 50.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).