Beacon of Hope
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (13 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Swedish/Norwegian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2025-10-31 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1048 | 49% | 2025-04-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1253 | 48% | 2024-11-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 1025 | 39% | 2023-06-21 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1099 | 47% | 2023-03-13 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-04-09 | Lost |
| 1005 | 988 | 52% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 990 | 55% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-05-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1056 | 43% | 2021-04-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 992 | 53% | 2021-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1061.4 has a 46.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).