Beacon of Hope
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Swedish/Norwegian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2025-04-12 | Lost |
1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
1264 | 1282 | 47% | 2024-11-25 | Lost |
943 | 748 | 75% | 2023-06-21 | Lost |
1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2023-03-13 | Lost |
869 | 984 | 34% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
1017 | 973 | 56% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2021-05-19 | Lost |
1008 | 991 | 52% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
1084 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-04-09 | Lost |
1011 | 897 | 66% | 2021-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1048.9 vs 1040.5 has a 51.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).