To The Neman
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1038 | 55% | 2024-02-28 | | Won |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2022-08-04 | | Won |
| 780 | 1159 | 10% | 2021-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 924 | 81% | 2021-07-05 | | Won |
| 1098 | 949 | 70% | 2021-02-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2020-11-14 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2020-11-02 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-11-02 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2020-10-29 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1053.6 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).