To The Neman
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1019 | 54% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1138 | 930 | 77% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 780 | 1194 | 8% | 2021-12-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 924 | 81% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 1113 | 958 | 71% | 2021-02-03 | Won |
| 1068 | 904 | 72% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1134 | 1216 | 38% | 2020-10-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1043.2 has a 52.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).