Hedgehog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 986 | 45% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 1023 | 900 | 67% | 2023-08-17 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1107 | 53% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1228 | 1116 | 66% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 992 | 984 | 51% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 992 | 1023 | 46% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 986 | 55% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1014.6 has a 54.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).