Taking San Stefano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 994 | 57% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1056 | 45% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 891 | 1012 | 33% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 933 | 937 | 49% | 2020-08-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 984 | 50% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 972 | 994 | 47% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 985.7 vs 1017.1 has a 45.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).