Fateful Miscalculations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2026-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1150 | 42% | 2026-03-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1076 has a 45.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).