Prelude: Chabrehez
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Belgian): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 955 | 1045 | 37% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 882 | 815 | 60% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1086 | 59% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1191 | 1045 | 70% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 985 | 946 | 56% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1214 | 996 | 78% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 996.3 has a 61.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).