Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (16 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 841 | 1072 | 21% | 2026-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2025-03-23 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1046 | 40% | 2025-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2025-03-01 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-11-26 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2022-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1064 | 64% | 2022-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2022-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 994 | 62% | 2021-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2020-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2020-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2020-05-18 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1138 | 63% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | | Won |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2020-01-31 | | Won |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1044.7 has a 52.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).