Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (16 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 841 | 1072 | 21% | 2026-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2025-03-23 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1029 | 43% | 2025-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2025-03-01 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-11-26 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2022-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1044 | 69% | 2022-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2022-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 996 | 59% | 2021-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2020-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2020-05-18 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1170 | 62% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2020-01-31 | | Won |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1031.4 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).