Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1087 | 37% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1087 | 59% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1090 | 1101 | 48% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 698 | 899 | 24% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1030 | 76% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1311 | 31% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1227 | 40% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1017 | 76% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1089.3 has a 45.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).