Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1014 | 41% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1116 | 1094 | 53% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 812 | 894 | 38% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1021 | 81% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1298 | 32% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 875 | 1151 | 17% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1276 | 18% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1214 | 996 | 78% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1078.3 has a 46.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).