In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (25 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1180 | 45% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1015 | 75% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 871 | 879 | 49% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1025 | 45% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 1025 | 39% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1052 | 30% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1056 | 50% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1014 | 38% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 958 | 986 | 46% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 964 | 1025 | 41% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1137 | 1024 | 66% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1137 | 1024 | 66% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 971 | 58% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1038 | 1006 | 55% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 958 | 78% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1226 | 23% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 965 | 843 | 67% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1107 | 910 | 76% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1216 | 39% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 987 | 958 | 54% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1021.6 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).