In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (24 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 30
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1198 | 42% | 2025-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1015 | 74% | 2024-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2023-12-01 | | Lost |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-09-27 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-07-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2023-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-11-06 | | Won |
| 926 | 1038 | 34% | 2022-03-10 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-01-16 | | Won |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2021-07-19 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-04-19 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1024 | 79% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1024 | 79% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2021-03-22 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2021-02-26 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1006 | 54% | 2020-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 966 | 77% | 2020-12-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-07-22 | | Lost |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 927 | 73% | 2020-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1170 | 62% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-02-17 | | Won |
| 1002 | 966 | 55% | 2020-02-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1023.1 has a 53.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).