In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (23 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 27
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 948 | 1014 | 41% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 1142 | 1084 | 58% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 945 | 65% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 936 | 60% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 931 | 991 | 41% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 965 | 1014 | 43% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1141 | 1061 | 61% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1061 | 61% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1074 | 53% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1016 | 1006 | 51% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1165 | 931 | 79% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 1124 | 1223 | 36% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 908 | 888 | 53% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1090 | 983 | 65% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1276 | 31% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 954 | 931 | 53% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1012 | 931 | 61% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1019.3 has a 53.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).