Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1236 | 1005 | 79% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1283 | 1180 | 64% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1138 | 39% | 2022-08-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2021-05-03 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1256 | 945 | 86% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 1174 | 30% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 878 | 62% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1134.1 vs 1036.4 has a 63.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).