Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 1005 | 73% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1278 | 1150 | 68% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2022-08-04 | Lost |
| 1103 | 890 | 77% | 2021-05-03 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1281 | 1010 | 83% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
| 1027 | 1143 | 34% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 903 | 61% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1137.5 vs 1037.8 has a 63.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).