First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Free French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 903 | 1102 | 24% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
| 966 | 1019 | 42% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Lost |
| 1281 | 1010 | 83% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 1001 | 1188 | 25% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1098.4 has a 45.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).