The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2025-05-18 | | Won |
| 829 | 981 | 29% | 2024-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1058 | 44% | 2024-07-23 | | Lost |
| 970 | 974 | 49% | 2024-07-16 | D | Lost |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2023-02-06 | A | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-08-15 | | Won |
| 1065 | 1131 | 41% | 2022-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2020-08-20 | | Won |
| 924 | 981 | 42% | 2020-04-10 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-01-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 982 vs 1012.9 has a 45.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).