Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (20 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 34
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 836 | 81% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1011 | 49% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1062 | 1031 | 54% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 982 | 43% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 994 | 973 | 53% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 920 | 1009 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1069 | 1129 | 41% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 1173 | 35% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1055 | 71% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 882 | 1051 | 27% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 931 | 1018 | 38% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1129 | 1013 | 66% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1044 | 53% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1140 | 39% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1030.2 vs 1045.4 has a 47.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).