One-Eyed Jacques
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (43 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (French): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1289 | 974 | 86% | 2026-08-21 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1045 | 60% | 2026-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1089 | 48% | 2025-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1064 | 54% | 2024-11-13 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1162 | 18% | 2024-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1077 | 41% | 2024-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 909 | 69% | 2024-06-14 | | Won |
| 1042 | 1056 | 48% | 2024-05-08 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1056 | 64% | 2024-04-01 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-02-09 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1133 | 27% | 2022-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2022-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 986 | 54% | 2022-04-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2021-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-06-21 | | Lost |
| 952 | 949 | 50% | 2021-05-29 | | Won |
| 989 | 1002 | 48% | 2021-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2021-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1230 | 24% | 2021-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1077 | 65% | 2021-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1177 | 27% | 2021-01-02 | | Won |
| 1048 | 981 | 60% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1150 | 37% | 2020-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-11-15 | | Won |
| 1048 | 1154 | 35% | 2020-11-14 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1027 | 44% | 2020-10-17 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1289 | 4% | 2020-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2020-08-27 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1141 | 35% | 2020-07-11 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1182 | 25% | 2020-04-30 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-04-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2020-04-19 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-04-07 | | Won |
| 1183 | 808 | 90% | 2020-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2020-02-28 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2020-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-01-16 | | Won |
| 1147 | 969 | 74% | 2020-01-16 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1015 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1047.4 has a 49.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).