One-Eyed Jacques
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (43 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (French): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1258 | 989 | 82% | 2026-08-21 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1007 | 66% | 2026-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1044 | 53% | 2024-11-13 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1162 | 24% | 2024-07-20 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1077 | 39% | 2024-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 886 | 67% | 2024-06-14 | | Won |
| 1042 | 1028 | 52% | 2024-05-08 | | Won |
| 1175 | 1028 | 70% | 2024-04-01 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-02-09 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1147 | 25% | 2022-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 986 | 54% | 2022-04-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2021-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-06-21 | | Lost |
| 935 | 977 | 44% | 2021-05-29 | | Won |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2021-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2021-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1252 | 22% | 2021-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2021-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1056 | 64% | 2021-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2021-01-02 | | Won |
| 1059 | 966 | 63% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1159 | 36% | 2020-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-11-15 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1170 | 35% | 2020-11-14 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1027 | 44% | 2020-10-17 | | Lost |
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2020-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2020-08-27 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1141 | 35% | 2020-07-11 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1198 | 24% | 2020-04-30 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-04-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2020-04-19 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2020-04-07 | | Won |
| 1167 | 786 | 90% | 2020-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2020-02-28 | | Won |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2020-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2020-01-16 | | Won |
| 1133 | 969 | 72% | 2020-01-16 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1015 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1044.3 has a 49.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).