Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 19
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2026-03-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2025-07-19 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-05-16 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1134 | 45% | 2022-08-16 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2021-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2021-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1115 | 1045 | 60% | 2021-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2021-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1048 | 63% | 2021-02-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1177 | 27% | 2021-02-20 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2020-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1043.9 has a 47.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).