Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 19
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2026-03-21 | | Won |
| 991 | 944 | 57% | 2025-07-19 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-05-16 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1085 | 52% | 2022-08-16 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2021-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2021-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 984 | 72% | 2021-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2021-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1059 | 61% | 2021-02-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2021-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2020-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1032.1 has a 50.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).