Le Hérisson
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (French): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-10-27 | Lost |
| 1141 | 972 | 73% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 969 | 1057 | 38% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1125 | 68% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 933 | 66% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 908 | 936 | 46% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 927 | 917 | 51% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-07-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.9 vs 1001.5 has a 54.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).