Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (French): 6
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 1170 | 971 | 76% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 943 | 1014 | 40% | 2023-10-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 1104 | 38% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1016 | 81% | 2022-09-23 | Lost |
| 913 | 906 | 51% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 909 | 1266 | 11% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 906 | 934 | 46% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 1056 | 1127 | 40% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 910 | 970 | 41% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1125 | 1057 | 60% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1049.6 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).