Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 843 | 67% | 2025-11-20 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 1204 | 962 | 80% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 1025 | 39% | 2023-10-12 | Won |
| 1024 | 1102 | 39% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1024 | 82% | 2022-09-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 958 | 44% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 962 | 1282 | 14% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 958 | 985 | 46% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 1003 | 1120 | 34% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 940 | 1021 | 39% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1035 | 53% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 1057 | 53% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1049.4 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).