Changing the Guard at Namdeamun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 1
Defender wins (North Korean): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2022-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2021-07-27 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 976.5 vs 1132.5 has a 28.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).