At the Races with Dark Horse Six
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (North Korean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2023-09-08 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2021-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2021-07-19 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1056 | 40% | 2021-01-18 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1036.8 vs 1070.6 has a 45.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).