Unfamiliar Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (17 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1054 | 44% | 2023-09-13 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1124 | 949 | 73% | 2023-01-05 | Tied |
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 961 | 1021 | 41% | 2022-10-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1035 | 53% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
| 1164 | 1068 | 63% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 942 | 1084 | 31% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 1176 | 896 | 83% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 964 | 1076 | 34% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 1013 | 52% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 1032 | 967 | 59% | 2020-03-27 | Won |
| 979 | 950 | 54% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1016.5 has a 50.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).