Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (14 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 912 | 62% | 2023-09-03 | Won |
| 1213 | 1245 | 45% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1032 | 982 | 57% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 1098 | 1082 | 52% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1255 | 20% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1053 | 977 | 61% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
| 1255 | 1141 | 66% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1081 | 52% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2019-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1089.1 vs 1084.1 has a 50.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).