New and Untested
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (18 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2025-04-27 | Lost |
| 1023 | 958 | 59% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2022-11-09 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2022-08-10 | Lost |
| 929 | 989 | 41% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2022-05-03 | Won |
| 1030 | 1063 | 45% | 2022-05-03 | Won |
| 1035 | 1054 | 47% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 912 | 927 | 48% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 1037 | 1165 | 32% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1192 | 26% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 999 | 49% | 2020-07-08 | Won |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2020-01-11 | Tied |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2020-01-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2019-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1063.7 has a 47.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).