The Closer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (25 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 50
Defender wins (Canadian): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 952 | 56% | 2025-05-08 | Won |
1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2024-05-09 | Lost |
1019 | 997 | 53% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
866 | 913 | 43% | 2023-01-03 | Lost |
1094 | 1062 | 55% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
1204 | 1003 | 76% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
1132 | 748 | 90% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
993 | 864 | 68% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
1128 | 1003 | 67% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
1014 | 1310 | 15% | 2021-07-12 | Lost |
1063 | 906 | 71% | 2021-07-11 | Won |
748 | 970 | 22% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
970 | 995 | 46% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
748 | 1132 | 10% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
1084 | 950 | 68% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
1031 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
1084 | 1042 | 56% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
1189 | 748 | 93% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
1081 | 1122 | 44% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
1017 | 973 | 56% | 2019-11-23 | Tied |
1058 | 1015 | 56% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
1019 | 978 | 56% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1014.3 has a 53.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).