Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (22 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1057 | 46% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 941 | 848 | 63% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 1128 | 19% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1198 | 18% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1149 | 35% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1253 | 1060 | 75% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1127 | 24% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1056 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1136 | 1001 | 69% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1263 | 954 | 86% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1050 | 1136 | 38% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1130 | 1072 | 58% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1049 | 934 | 66% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1117 | 1151 | 45% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 908 | 1026 | 34% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1065.7 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).