Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (15 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1129 | 23% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1155 | 33% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1310 | 1073 | 80% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1165 | 20% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1097 | 27% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1182 | 1098 | 62% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 933 | 66% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 905 | 1058 | 29% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 994 | 977 | 52% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1067.3 has a 47.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).