Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (22 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 47
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1039 | 50% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 940 | 847 | 63% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 876 | 1128 | 19% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1152 | 22% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 1149 | 26% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1234 | 1064 | 73% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1128 | 24% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1056 | 43% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1136 | 1001 | 69% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1131 | 960 | 73% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1050 | 1136 | 38% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 960 | 1131 | 27% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 934 | 65% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1153 | 47% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 1028 | 33% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1141 | 35% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1071.8 has a 45.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).