Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (26 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-12-09 | | Lost |
| 977 | 939 | 55% | 2025-05-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2024-11-30 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1061 | 30% | 2024-05-12 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1242 | 18% | 2024-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2022-11-22 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-03-29 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1134 | 21% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-10-26 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-10-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2021-04-01 | | Won |
| 1163 | 924 | 80% | 2021-03-04 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1030 | 44% | 2020-11-25 | | Won |
| 904 | 1219 | 14% | 2020-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1005 | 69% | 2020-07-17 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1077 | 44% | 2020-03-14 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2020-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2020-02-09 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1066 | 38% | 2020-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2020-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1154 | 1230 | 39% | 2020-01-01 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2019-10-09 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1018.6 vs 1069.5 has a 42.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).