Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (26 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1032 | 55% | 2025-12-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 949 | 56% | 2025-05-22 | Won |
| 1160 | 1117 | 56% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 980 | 1283 | 15% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1049 | 987 | 59% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 879 | 60% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 930 | 1058 | 32% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1092 | 1228 | 31% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1127 | 924 | 76% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1051 | 49% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1253 | 12% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1005 | 65% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1020 | 55% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1066 | 42% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1049 | 41% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1086 | 56% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1174 | 51% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1122 | 53% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1217 | 20% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1061.2 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).