Besieged
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (19 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 988 | 49% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 970 | 1029 | 42% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
| 1004 | 962 | 56% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 850 | 1067 | 22% | 2022-05-27 | Lost |
| 937 | 1002 | 41% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 981 | 879 | 64% | 2021-04-04 | Tied |
| 1012 | 1102 | 37% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1057 | 66% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2020-05-12 | Lost |
| 981 | 1228 | 19% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1431 | 1140 | 84% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 981 | 1020 | 44% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1002 | 47% | 2019-09-08 | Won |
| 1002 | 981 | 53% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1185 | 981 | 76% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1046.1 has a 48.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).