Ma Deuce Delivers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (28 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 982 | 62% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 904 | 865 | 56% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1157 | 43% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1136 | 41% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 868 | 982 | 34% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1136 | 49% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1138 | 39% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1027 | 53% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1079 | 27% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1079 | 40% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 879 | 64% | 2021-10-05 | Tied |
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 904 | 884 | 53% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1096 | 44% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 978 | 1096 | 34% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2019-09-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2019-06-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 932 | 1253 | 14% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 985 | 68% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1026 | 964 | 59% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1059 | 45% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 941 | 66% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1012 | 60% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1095 | 45% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1116 | 919 | 76% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1028.9 has a 51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).