The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1004 | 68% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 876 | 1051 | 27% | 2023-02-01 | Won |
| 1237 | 1197 | 56% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 955 | 892 | 59% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 921 | 1086 | 28% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 899 | 907 | 49% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 1045 | 1109 | 41% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1141 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1049 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).