Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 952 | 78% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 919 | 1015 | 37% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1045 | 75% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 913 | 1092 | 26% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1073 | 68% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1089 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 968 | 70% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 1059 | 34% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1102 | 887 | 78% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1062 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1077.1 vs 1041.3 has a 55.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).