Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 967 | 74% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1176 | 982 | 75% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 982 | 1018 | 45% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1075 | 67% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1088 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1171 | 971 | 76% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1016 | 912 | 65% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1086 | 53% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1070.9 vs 1034.5 has a 55.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).