Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (18 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2026-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2025-11-09 | A | Lost |
| 1149 | 957 | 75% | 2023-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2022-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2022-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1097 | 53% | 2022-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 979 | 63% | 2021-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2020-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2020-04-15 | | Won |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2020-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2019-03-20 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2019-01-23 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 980 | 1275 | 15% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1049.4 has a 47.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).