Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (18 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2026-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2025-11-09 | A | Lost |
| 1076 | 966 | 65% | 2023-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 961 | 58% | 2022-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1175 | 27% | 2022-08-12 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1093 | 31% | 2022-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1006 | 54% | 2021-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2020-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 969 | 71% | 2020-04-15 | | Won |
| 914 | 1083 | 27% | 2020-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-03-20 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 972 | 54% | 2019-01-23 | | Lost |
| 699 | 1000 | 15% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 934 | 1275 | 12% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1010.6 vs 1054.8 has a 43.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).