The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 959 | 46% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2023-05-11 | Won |
| 980 | 1243 | 18% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1041 | 65% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 971 | 937 | 55% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1024 | 55% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 941 | 1058 | 34% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 945 | 1256 | 14% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1007 vs 1047.6 has a 44.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).