The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (10 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1000 | 66% | 2024-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2023-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2023-05-11 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1007 | 67% | 2021-06-06 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-06-01 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2019-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1298 | 15% | 2019-03-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1028.8 has a 51.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).