Radio X-MAS
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 18
Defender wins (American / Partisan): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 1129 | 20% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 989 | 1050 | 41% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1025 | 980 | 56% | 2022-07-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1015 | 60% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1076 | 1065 | 52% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1226 | 998 | 79% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 904 | 1231 | 13% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 904 | 1055 | 30% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 973 | 1231 | 18% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030 vs 1074 has a 43.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).